Follow Terry's Tips on Twitter. Like Terry's Tips on Facebook. Watch Terry's Tips on YouTube. This week we are featuring an option trading idea based on a stock that just broke out following the Senate healthcare bill. I hope that it is of interest to you. Merck Breaks Out, can it Continue to Trade Higher? Merck, broke out to fresh all-time highs last week following news from the proposed senate bill that would allow for less regulation and would not crack down on drug pricing. The Senate appears to be moving toward a vote, which should keep MRK buoyed. If you concur with the views expressed by these analysts, consider making this trade which stock a bet that MRK will continue to advance or at least not decline very much over the next six weeks:. After breaking out, prices are consolidating above the recent breakout level. Momentum has turned positive as the MACD moving average convergence divergence index generated a crossover buy signal. Unless the stock rallies quickly from here, you should be able to get close options this amount. As with all investments, you should only make option trades with money that you can truly afford to lose. Lumentum Holdings LITE Is Coiling For An Up Move. The technical outlook for LITE is solid. The stock has been trending higher for over a year and a half and an acceleration of momentum can be seen since the start of May, shortly after the company announced earnings. The earnings report caused a gap above the day moving average and the stock has held above it since. Lumentum has been consolidating sideways in a range over the past two weeks which is common in strong bullish trends. Recent additions to the list might be particularly good choices for this strategy, and deletions might be good indicators for exiting a position that you might already have on that stock. This week we are featuring an option trading idea based on a stock on the IBD Top 50 List that just delivered robust earnings guidance. Is Alibaba BABA Ready to Accelerate Higher? Alibaba, broke out to fresh all-time highs last week following better than expected financial results both on the top and bottom line. Prices have been forming a bull flag pattern which is a pause that refreshes higher. If you concur with the views expressed by these analysts, consider making this trade which is a bet that BABA will continue to advance or at least not decline very much over the next five weeks:. After a round of profit taking the stock should resume its climb. The stock price has not closed below its day moving average since February. One way to bet on a further climb would be to put on a bull put credit spread where the short strike was below the day moving average. Is Arista Networks ANET Ready For An Acceleration To The Upside? Arista Networks is up Here are two of them — With legal risks fading, Barclays raises Arista Networks target and Needham: If you concur with the views expressed by these analysts, consider making this trade which is a bet that ANET will continue to advance or at least not decline very much over the next options weeks:. In one of our portfolios, we use this list to find stocks which have displayed a strong upward momentum, and we place spreads which will profit if the upward momentum continues for about six more weeks. Actually, the stock can even fall a little for the maximum gain to be made on these spreads. Will Nvdia NVDA Continue Its Upward Momentum? Several articles have recently been published on the positive outlook for NVDA. Here are two of them — Nvidia: If you agree with these analysts, you might consider making this trade which is a bet that NVDA will continue its upward momentum or at least not decline very much options the next six weeks:. You should be able to get close to this amount unless the stock moves quickly higher. CallsStock SpreadsMonthly OptionsNVDAPortfolioProfitPutsRiskStocks vs. I will options the exact positions we have in this portfolio, their original cost, and our reasoning for putting them on. It is not our best performing portfolio, but it exceeds the average gain of Our Honey Badger portfolio is one of our most aggressive least conservative. We select strike prices which are just below the then-current stock price so we can tolerate a small drop in the price while we hold the positions. Here are the exact words we published in our June 3, Saturday Report which reviews performance of all nine portfolios:. It will be our most aggressive portfolio. Results for the week: The big gain this week came about because of the surge in AVGO which makes the spread stock certain to make the maximum gain when it expires in three weeks. All three stocks in this portfolio are comfortably above the price then need to be to achieve the maximum gain. Since the IBD Top 50 list is such spread important source for this portfolio, we keep a careful watch on the stocks which are added on to the list each week and which ones are deleted. Over time, we hope to determine whether deletions might be good prospects for bearish spreads. Momentum often works in both directions, and perhaps stocks which had strong upward momentum will have strong downward momentum when IBD determines that the upward trend has ended. We hope you enjoyed this peek at one of our portfolios, and the strategy we use in this portfolio. Our results include all commissions as well most newsletters conveniently ignore commissions to make their results look better. We invite you to come on board and share in our success. AMATANETAVGOBullish Options strategiesCallsCredit OptionsHQYimplied volatilityLEAPSLRCXMonthly OptionsNVDAPortfolioProfitprofitsPutsRiskStocks vs. But I will share a trade I made on this ETP this morning, and my thinking behind this trade. The best way to explain how SVXY works might be to explain that it is the inverse of VXX, trading ETP that some people buy when they fear that the market is about to crash. Many articles have been published extolling the virtues of VXX as the ideal protection against a setback in the market. When the market falls, volatility VIX most always rises, and when VIX rises, VXX almost always does as well. It is not uncommon for VXX to double in value in a very short time when the market corrects. The only problem with VXX is that in the long run, it is just about the worst equity that you could imagine buying. About every year and a half, a reverse 1-for-4 reverse split must stock engineered on VXX to keep the price high enough to bother with buying. The last time this happened was in August Clearly, you would only buy VXX if trading felt spread that the market was about to implode. Most of the time, we prefer to own the inverse of VXX. When VIX rose and SVXY fell last week, something interesting happened. Implied volatility IV of the SVXY options skyrocketed to nearly double what it was a month ago. I think that these high option prices will not exist for too long, and would like to sell some at this time. Rather than selling either or both puts trading calls naked inviting the possibility of unlimited lossa good way of selling high-IV options is through an iron condor spread. As with any investment, you would only commit money that you can truly afford to lose. I like my trading here, and I committed an amount that would not change my style of living if I lost it. Calls stock, Credit SpreadsETFETPimplied volatilityMonthly OptionsPortfolioProfitprofitsPutsRiskStocks vs. By the way, we have 9 portfolios that we carry out for paying subscribers where they can see every trade including commissions as we make them. All of these portfolios have made positive gains so far inand the composite average has picked up Not bad compared to conventional investment results. The Motley Fool guys have written over articles on the company and include it in their top three beauty stocks. The company has a plan to add on stock stores, and they have exceeded earnings estimates every quarter for the past year. The chart for the last year shows a steady climb upward, but there have been some setbacks along the way:. While this might not be much downside protection, it is surely a lot better deal than owning the stock where even a dollar drop in the stock will result in a loss for the period. If that becomes necessary, we will send you a note explaining the action we took. As with any investment, you should do your own research on the fundamentals of any stock or options you buy, and you should only be risking money that you can truly afford to lose. These thoughts reflected on the recent successes of the nine actual options portfolios we carry out and comment on spread week. By the way, all nine portfolios are profitable for and the composite average gain is currently Last week while the market SPY fell 0. What Can Be Learned From Successful Option Strategies. If we can identify the strategies that resulted in the extraordinary returns we have enjoyed in the first quarter, maybe we can use those strategies for other underlying stocks or ETPs and time periods. First, we must admit that we had some good luck. Anyone who makes these kinds of returns must admit that some of it was based on pure luck. Anyone who follows the mutual fund industry knows this intimately. Every year, millions options dollars get plowed into the top-performing funds, and a year or five years later whichever period the top-rated award coveredthose funds almost universally underperform in the subsequent period. Some of us remember way back when the Wall Street Journal had a column where monkeys throwing darts competed against the top picks of top-rated analysts, and the monkeys won about half spread time. Our biggest winner was Wiley Wolf where FB rose Our portfolio is up This is the only portfolio that uses the 10k Strategyand we have learned that it will return a multiple of stock the stock price does. Unfortunately, that works in both directions, and if the stock had fallen by that amount, our losses would have been proportionately greater. So we can conclude that we were lucky to be playing FB for a period when it was rising nicely, but our strategy had something to do with achieving the exceptional returns. A less dramatic explanation of the power of an options strategy has taken place in our SPY-based Leaping Leopard portfolio. In this portfolio, we are using the strategy of long-term vertical put credit spreads. This is our favorite way to play underlyings which we believe will at least remain flat, or are likely to rise. The market SPY has picked up 4. Our Leaping Leopard portfolio has gained The huge difference between what the market does and our portfolio performance is clearly caused by the strategy. Returning to the being lucky theme, the volatility-related portfolios have prospered because contango has remained at an elevated level for the entire first quarter of the year. With the election of a president whose promises and plans were seen to be unusually volatile and uncertain which ideas would be proposed, and which might actually become real was a real questionthe market expected that in the near future, volatility would be great. Meanwhile, the market racked up small and steady gains, and VIX fell to historic lows and has pretty much remained there. When VIX is low and the futures are predicting high uncertainty for SPY, contango rises to the historic highs we have seen pretty much all trading. This contango condition has been the major contributor to our Contango portfolio gaining We have been selling at strikes which are seriously out-of-the-money, and we would have done just as well if SVXY had not soared like it did. Even worse, we tried to protect against the possibility of a falling SVXY we bought into the fears that uncertainty would be the predominant conditionand we also sold some well out-of-the-money calls on the ETP. These short calls caused our returns to be lower than if we had not been so worried that volatility would heat up. It is far more difficult to predict the short-term movements of a stock than the longer-term movements. Short-term fluctuations are often caused by spread actions in response to news items such as analysts upgrades or downgrades or quarterly numbers or rumors, while longer-term fluctuations are more likely to be based on the fundamental performance of the underlying company or ETP. So far, thanks to the rising market, it is ahead of schedule, picking up To summarize, the first 11 weeks of have been good ones for the market. SPY has gained 4. The prudent owner of a large-market-based index fund will have gained this much so far this year. This is about the average gain initially predicted by the composite of the published analysts we identified at the outset of the year. So the market has achieved in 11 weeks what the analysts expected for the entire year, making it a remarkable year so far. The difference between this 4. Options are leveraged investments, and should be expected to perform exponentially better or worse than the percentage gains of their underlyings. However, in most of our portfolios, we can spread forward to unusually large gains when the underlyings remain absolutely flat or even lose a little over the course of the year. We like to think that the performance of our portfolios so far this year is the result of our doing a decent job in the options arena. Auto-TradeCalendar SpreadsCallsCredit Spreadsdiagonal spreadsETFMonthly OptionsPortfolioProfitPutsStocks vs. Several articles have been published lately which are bullish on Ford, including Ford and Its 4. Buy To Open F 28Apr17 This spread is called a vertical put credit spread. I prefer using puts rather than calls if I am bullish on the stock because if you are right, and the stock is trading above the strike price of the puts I sold on expiration day, both put options will expire worthless and no further trading need to be made or commissions payable. By the way, you should check out this new brokerage firm because their commission rates are options about the best you will find anywhere. Trading no commissions when you close out a trade. TastyWorks was started early this year by the same people who started thinkorswim which was later sold to TD Ameritrade. As with all investments, spread trades should only be made with money that you can truly afford to lose. This book may not improve your golf game, but it might change your financial situation so that you will have spread time for the greens and fairways and sometimes the woods. Allen believes that the 10K Strategy is less risky than owning stocks or mutual funds, and why it options especially appropriate for your IRA. I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years. Terry Allen's strategies have been the most consistent money makers for me. Neither tastyworks nor any of its affiliated companies is responsible for the privacy practices of Marketing Agent or this website. Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading my expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Trading before investing in options. Vermont website design, graphic design, and web hosting provided by Vermont Design Works. Wednesday, June 28th, This week we are featuring an option trading idea based on a stock that just broke out following the Senate healthcare bill. Terry Merck Breaks Out, can stock Continue to Trade Higher? If you concur with the views expressed by these analysts, consider making this trade which is a bet that MRK will continue to advance or at least not decline very much over the next six weeks: Technicals After breaking out, prices are consolidating above the recent breakout level. MRK Chart June Lumentum Chart June IBD Underlying Updates June 23, Wednesday, June 21st, This week we are featuring an option trading idea based on a stock on the IBD Top 50 List that just delivered robust earnings guidance. Terry Is Alibaba BABA Ready to Accelerate Higher? If you concur with options views expressed by these analysts, consider making this trade which is a bet that BABA will continue to advance or at least not decline very much over the next five weeks: Technicals After a round of profit taking the stock should resume its climb. BABA Chart June Terry Is Arista Networks ANET Ready For An Acceleration To The Upside? If you concur with the views expressed by these analysts, consider making this trade which is a bet that ANET will continue to advance or at least not stock very much over the next five weeks: IBD Underlying Updates June 19, Terry Will Nvdia NVDA Continue Its Upward Momentum? If you agree with these analysts, you might consider making this trade which is a bet that NVDA will continue its spread momentum or at least not decline very much over the next six weeks: IBD Underlying Updates June 12, Here are the exact words we published in our June 3, Saturday Report which reviews performance of all nine portfolios: IBD Underlying Updates June This is the spread I executed this morning: The chart for the last year shows a steady climb trading, but there have been some setbacks along the way: ULTA Chart April Here is the trade I made: Search Blog Search for: Stock Options Straddles Strangles Terry's Tips thinkorswim VIX Volatility VXX Weekly Options Weekly vs. Monthly Options William Tell. Success Stories I have been trading the equity markets with many different strategies for over 40 years.
The Right Way To Buy Options - Long Vertical Spread
The Right Way To Buy Options - Long Vertical Spread
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